Série D Brazil Knock-outs Last 16
Global 2-2
Altos vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
ALT
2 - 0
GLO
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 1
ALT
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
ALT
2 - 0
4DE
51%
23%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ALT
3 - 1
RIO
71%
16%
13%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
RIO
0 - 2
ALT
38%
26%
37%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 1
ALT
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
SAL
4 - 0
VIT
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
VIT
4 - 3
SAL
34%
27%
40%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 0
GUA
62%
22%
15%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 1
SAL
27%
28%
45%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |