Altos vs Parnahyba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
COR
0 - 3
ALT
6%
12%
82%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
JAC
4 - 1
ALT
31%
26%
44%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ECS
4 - 1
ALT
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
ALT
0 - 3
PAY
26%
27%
47%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
ALT
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
4DE
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
FPI
0 - 1
PAR
61%
21%
19%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 1
FPI
20%
21%
60%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
ALT
2 - 0
PAR
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 0
ALT
13%
21%
66%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | +6 |