Altos vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
ALT
0 - 0
BOT
20%
21%
59%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 0
ALT
30%
24%
45%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ALT
4 - 3
PIA
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
ALT
4 - 0
FLA
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ALT
2 - 0
PAR
67%
19%
15%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 2
4DE
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
4DE
3 - 0
RIV
33%
27%
40%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +3 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
FLA
1 - 3
4DE
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
PIA
3 - 2
4DE
48%
23%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
4DE
0 - 0
ALT
19%
22%
59%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |