Altona Magic vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
61.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altona Magic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 1
ALM
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
PLI
2 - 3
ALM
74%
17%
9%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
ALM
1 - 1
AIS
40%
26%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2008 |
OAK
2 - 1
ALM
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2008 |
ALM
1 - 0
SOU
20%
25%
55%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +3 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2008 |
MEL
3 - 1
FAB
81%
14%
5%
|
50 | 19 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
WES
1 - 2
MEL
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2008 |
MEL
0 - 0
GRE
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
PLI
1 - 1
MEL
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2008 |
AIS
1 - 2
MEL
22%
23%
55%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |