Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+126%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altona Magic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
PLI
1 - 0
ALM
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 70 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
ALM
2 - 1
STA
52%
22%
25%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2025 |
MEL
1 - 1
ALM
23%
20%
57%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ALM
6 - 2
MNG
64%
19%
18%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 0
ALM
85%
11%
4%
|
37 | 74 | 37 | +1 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
DAN
2 - 2
DAC
51%
22%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
HUM
2 - 1
DAN
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
DAN
2 - 1
GRE
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
DAN
3 - 5
MCF
78%
13%
9%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 2
DAN
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |