Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
60.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+131%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
6º
12º
6º
33
4º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altona Magic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
MEL
3 - 1
ALM
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 2
GRE
22%
22%
57%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MCF
1 - 1
ALM
45%
22%
33%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 0
NGW
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AVH
3 - 0
ALM
80%
13%
8%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
DAN
2 - 6
POR
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 3
DAN
39%
24%
38%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
DAN
0 - 1
SOU
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DAN
1 - 2
OAK
22%
23%
55%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DAN
4 - 4
STA
72%
16%
12%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |