Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+181%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altona Magic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2009 |
RIC
2 - 3
ALM
45%
25%
31%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
PLI
2 - 4
ALM
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
ALM
1 - 2
HUM
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
ALM
2 - 1
MEL
34%
26%
41%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SOU
2 - 0
ALM
61%
22%
18%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
DAN
2 - 2
OAK
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
DAN
2 - 2
SOU
34%
26%
40%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
DAN
3 - 0
HEU
31%
25%
45%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +3 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
MEL
2 - 2
DAN
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
DAN
4 - 0
PLI
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |