Alto Ara vs Bolea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
52.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alto Ara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SJO
2 - 2
AAR
25%
20%
55%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
AAR
0 - 1
UNI
54%
21%
25%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SOD
4 - 4
AAR
62%
18%
20%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
AAR
3 - 1
TEM
59%
20%
22%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
AAR
3 - 0
ALM
53%
21%
26%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bolea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
BOL
31%
22%
47%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SOD
2 - 2
BOL
27%
22%
52%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |