Alto Ara vs Ayerbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
52%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alto Ara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CDC
3 - 0
AAR
73%
15%
12%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
AAR
2 - 4
LAL
15%
19%
66%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AAR
0 - 5
RCD
27%
22%
52%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
AGU
5 - 0
AAR
56%
19%
25%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
AAR
1 - 0
RCD
20%
20%
60%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ayerbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
AYE
5 - 0
AGU
33%
22%
45%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
HSD
2 - 1
AYE
31%
21%
48%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AYE
5 - 0
CDM
53%
21%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SJO
0 - 1
AYE
69%
16%
15%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
AYE
1 - 3
LAL
23%
22%
55%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -2 |