Altinho vs Jaguar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
BEL
0 - 1
AFC
55%
24%
22%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
AFC
6 - 1
FEC
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
AFC
2 - 2
ARA
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
ISC
0 - 1
AFC
25%
23%
52%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 2
ISC
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Jaguar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ADJ
1 - 0
ISC
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
ADJ
1 - 3
BEL
25%
23%
53%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
FEC
2 - 5
ADJ
21%
22%
57%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
ARA
3 - 0
ADJ
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ADJ
2 - 2
ARA
27%
24%
49%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |