Alfter vs Deutz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ALT
5 - 2
FBH
72%
16%
12%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ALT
2 - 0
SNS
91%
7%
2%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ALT
7 - 1
SPI
42%
22%
36%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
ALT
4 - 2
SVE
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BSC
2 - 2
ALT
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Deutz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SVD
4 - 1
SNS
57%
19%
24%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
RHE
1 - 0
SVD
63%
19%
19%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SVD
4 - 0
TMO
62%
18%
21%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MER
4 - 0
SVD
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SVD
3 - 1
SPI
31%
21%
49%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +2 |