Altay vs Sariyer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
6.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
ADA
2 - 1
ALT
45%
29%
26%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
ALT
3 - 0
BOL
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
ORD
2 - 0
ALT
43%
29%
28%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
ALT
3 - 1
ZON
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
ALT
6 - 0
KIR
72%
19%
9%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Sariyer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
KOC
3 - 2
SAR
67%
22%
11%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
SAR
4 - 1
KAR
62%
25%
13%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
SAR
1 - 2
DUZ
60%
26%
14%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1978 |
SAR
3 - 2
KAR
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
BAN
0 - 0
SAR
56%
28%
16%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |