Alta IF vs Bærum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
6º
14º
6º
26
3º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alta IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
IKJ
0 - 1
ALT
63%
19%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ALT
1 - 1
SSK
35%
23%
41%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ALT
0 - 1
LEV
19%
22%
60%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ULL
1 - 3
ALT
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
ALT
2 - 1
STR
56%
21%
24%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 6
LEV
17%
21%
62%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ULL
4 - 1
BAR
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
KVI
3 - 0
BAR
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
6 - 1
ULL
70%
17%
12%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 3
ULL
26%
22%
52%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |