Alqueries B vs Castellnovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
60.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+150%
-100%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alqueries B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CLU
3 - 1
ALQ
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ALQ
2 - 3
XIL
32%
23%
45%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SEG
2 - 1
ALQ
71%
17%
12%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ALQ
2 - 5
BUR
30%
23%
47%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CDA
2 - 1
ALQ
60%
21%
19%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Castellnovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 0
ALM
71%
17%
13%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
OND
2 - 2
CAS
14%
19%
67%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
CDA
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MON
0 - 1
CAS
27%
23%
50%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 1
BET
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |