Alquerias vs Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alquerias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
JUM
0 - 3
ALQ
40%
25%
35%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ALQ
4 - 0
CDL
78%
15%
7%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MSM
2 - 3
ALQ
64%
21%
16%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ALQ
0 - 0
ALC
51%
22%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 0
ALQ
55%
23%
22%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PLU
1 - 0
ABA
29%
21%
50%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MIN
4 - 3
PLU
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PLU
3 - 3
RMC
21%
20%
59%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
7 - 0
PLU
75%
16%
9%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
PLU
0 - 0
EEP
45%
22%
33%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |