Alquerias vs Molinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
55.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alquerias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
IMP
6 - 1
ALQ
81%
14%
5%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
ALQ
1 - 2
IND
16%
23%
61%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
CAL
3 - 1
ALQ
71%
18%
11%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
ALQ
0 - 1
RPA
20%
27%
53%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
LOR
5 - 1
ALQ
73%
19%
8%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Molinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
MOL
4 - 2
JUM
32%
25%
43%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
MOL
1 - 3
IMP
20%
24%
56%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
IND
1 - 0
MOL
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
MOL
4 - 0
CAL
43%
24%
33%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
RPA
3 - 0
MOL
68%
19%
13%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |