Alquerias vs Esperanza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alquerias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
MUL
1 - 1
ALQ
67%
19%
15%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2010 |
HUR
2 - 1
ALQ
24%
23%
53%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
ALQ
3 - 1
UDA
40%
24%
36%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
MIN
2 - 1
ALQ
68%
19%
13%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ALQ
0 - 1
BUL
21%
23%
57%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Esperanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
ESP
3 - 1
LOR
58%
21%
20%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
CEU
1 - 1
ESP
48%
23%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
ESP
2 - 1
OLI
62%
22%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
POZ
1 - 1
ESP
27%
23%
50%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ESP
1 - 0
MSM
31%
25%
44%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |