Alquerias vs Cuarto Distrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alquerias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ALQ
1 - 2
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MOL
3 - 3
ALQ
62%
21%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ALQ
1 - 2
CEU
31%
25%
45%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
MIN
1 - 0
ALQ
69%
18%
12%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ALQ
3 - 1
LOR
71%
17%
11%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cuarto Distrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
BUL
2 - 0
CUA
51%
23%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CUA
1 - 2
CAR
38%
25%
37%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
LAH
0 - 1
CUA
35%
26%
40%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
CUA
1 - 1
ABA
56%
22%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
JAV
0 - 0
CUA
17%
23%
60%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | -1 |