Alqueidão Serra vs GRAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
67.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alqueidão Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ALQ
4 - 3
GUI
11%
18%
71%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
PAT
3 - 0
ALQ
36%
24%
40%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
ALQ
0 - 3
GDA
12%
18%
70%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ALQ
0 - 1
LEM
14%
19%
68%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PEL
1 - 0
ALQ
63%
20%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
GRAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PEL
0 - 3
GRA
27%
23%
50%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 0
PEN
38%
23%
39%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
CCA
0 - 1
GRA
19%
21%
60%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 0
ADP
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MDB
1 - 2
GRA
36%
23%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |