Alqueidão Serra vs Beneditense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
69.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alqueidão Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GRA
4 - 0
ALQ
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Beneditense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 0
PEL
79%
14%
7%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 1
POM
27%
24%
50%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CDT
2 - 1
BEN
53%
23%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 0
ALC
27%
24%
49%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
0 - 1
BEN
73%
17%
11%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |