At. Alpicat vs Morell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
16.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-96%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Alpicat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ALP
2 - 1
UDV
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SUB
3 - 2
ALP
37%
22%
41%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
ALP
2 - 1
BLL
90%
7%
3%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
CEE
0 - 1
ALP
43%
24%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ALP
6 - 2
BBL
70%
16%
14%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 2
SUB
38%
23%
39%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
RUB
0 - 0
MOR
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
FCA
16%
21%
64%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
TER
4 - 0
MOR
72%
17%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CER
1 - 0
MOR
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |