Alpicat C B B vs Seros A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.1%
22.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alpicat C B B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
MAS
5 - 2
ALP
17%
18%
65%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ALP
8 - 1
BJC
53%
20%
28%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ALB
3 - 7
ALP
19%
19%
62%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ALP
4 - 1
BEL
76%
14%
10%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ALB
0 - 1
ALP
32%
21%
48%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Seros A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SER
2 - 2
MAS
57%
20%
23%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SER
4 - 2
ALB
46%
21%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 2
SER
34%
20%
45%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SER
1 - 2
ALB
51%
20%
30%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MON
3 - 0
SER
20%
17%
63%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -2 |