Alphense Boys vs Nieuwenhoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alphense Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
DHC
1 - 1
ALP
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ALP
3 - 2
AFC
69%
17%
13%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LEO
2 - 1
ALP
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ALP
5 - 1
KON
58%
22%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
DEZ
1 - 2
ALP
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
NIE
0 - 0
ADO
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 2
NIE
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 4
NIE
33%
26%
42%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
NIE
3 - 2
PUR
67%
18%
15%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
WES
0 - 1
NIE
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |