Alphense Boys U21 vs Excelsior U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
42.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alphense Boys U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 2
APB
41%
22%
37%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
APB
3 - 1
ROD
22%
20%
58%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
GRA
0 - 1
EXC
51%
20%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 1
WIL
53%
21%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 2
FCE
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
NEC
1 - 1
EXC
54%
20%
26%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2019 |
EXC
3 - 2
DOR
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |