Alphense Boys U18 vs Excelsior U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
2º
7º
7º
30
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alphense Boys U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 3
APB
19%
19%
63%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
APB
3 - 3
FDB
28%
20%
51%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 4
APB
31%
21%
48%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
APB
5 - 2
FDB
13%
17%
70%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +3 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 3
APB
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 5
FDB
31%
21%
48%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VOL
1 - 4
EXC
36%
21%
43%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
EXC
4 - 1
NEC
67%
17%
16%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
EXC
4 - 0
SVH
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
FCD
2 - 5
EXC
13%
17%
70%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | +1 |