Alpha United vs WBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
29.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alpha United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
VKI
2 - 3
AUN
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
AUN
1 - 0
SEA
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2009 |
AUN
2 - 1
GUY
55%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
AUN
3 - 2
MIL
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
AUN
0 - 0
GUY
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
WBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
GUY
1 - 2
WBC
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
RHO
2 - 3
WBC
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SJH
4 - 1
WBC
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
WBC
3 - 1
TBR
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
WBC
5 - 1
VIC
50%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |