Alpendorada vs Marítimo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
72.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-66%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
7º
13º
11º
43
3º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
33% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
67% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alpendorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
ALP
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 1
ALP
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 1
GON
15%
24%
61%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SAL
5 - 4
ALP
80%
15%
5%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 3
REB
31%
23%
47%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Marítimo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
VAL
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAM
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 2
MAR
10%
15%
75%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
LEC
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +3 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
MAR
36%
27%
37%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |