Alpendorada vs Vilarinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
50.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+348%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alpendorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
NOG
0 - 1
ALP
48%
24%
28%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ALP
1 - 1
PED
16%
20%
64%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ALP
0 - 2
DSA
36%
24%
40%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CUS
2 - 1
ALP
36%
25%
40%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ALP
4 - 1
FOZ
67%
19%
14%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vilarinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
DSA
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CUS
1 - 2
VIL
20%
21%
59%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 2
FOZ
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CSA
0 - 3
VIL
23%
22%
56%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAN
45%
23%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |