Alonso Cano vs Jarama Race analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+143%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alonso Cano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
IDP
2 - 3
ALC
43%
22%
35%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ALC
2 - 3
CFR
29%
21%
50%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ORO
4 - 1
ALC
37%
23%
40%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ALC
4 - 4
EPA
37%
22%
41%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
RAY
3 - 2
ALC
65%
17%
18%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Jarama Race
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
JRR
1 - 2
CAR
24%
24%
52%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
JRR
2 - 0
IDP
51%
21%
28%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CCA
3 - 2
JRR
59%
20%
21%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
JRR
0 - 4
CFR
46%
22%
32%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CAB
0 - 3
JRR
36%
21%
44%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |