Alonso Cano vs Chamartin Vergara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
7.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alonso Cano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
TRN
2 - 2
ALC
45%
20%
35%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ALC
2 - 0
OSA
67%
17%
16%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ADE
1 - 1
ALC
14%
17%
68%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ALC
2 - 2
RUP
36%
21%
43%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CAO
1 - 5
ALC
24%
20%
56%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chamartin Vergara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 2
UAR
16%
19%
65%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CHA
3 - 1
CDO
51%
20%
28%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
TRN
6 - 5
CHA
87%
9%
5%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 1
OSA
26%
21%
53%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ADE
0 - 0
CHA
56%
19%
25%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |