Almudevar vs Gurrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
71.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almudevar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ALM
4 - 1
SJO
47%
22%
31%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
POS
1 - 1
ALM
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 4
AGU
37%
22%
41%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SOD
4 - 1
ALM
55%
20%
24%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 1
TEM
49%
21%
30%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gurrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
GUR
9 - 0
AAR
89%
8%
4%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
GUR
4 - 2
POS
64%
18%
18%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 4
GUR
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
GUR
3 - 2
SOD
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
GUR
5 - 0
TEM
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | -1 |