Almudevar vs Gurrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
54%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almudevar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
AYE
1 - 1
ALM
55%
21%
24%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 0
LAN
23%
22%
55%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
JHU
1 - 0
ALM
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 2
AGU
49%
22%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
MON
3 - 1
ALM
58%
21%
22%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Gurrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
AAR
0 - 2
GUR
21%
21%
58%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
GUR
3 - 0
AYE
61%
19%
20%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
GUR
3 - 1
SIE
21%
20%
59%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
LAN
0 - 0
GUR
62%
20%
18%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
GUR
0 - 5
JHU
32%
23%
46%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |