Almudevar vs Ayerbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
31.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almudevar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SJO
2 - 1
ALM
53%
22%
25%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ALM
2 - 0
UNI
67%
17%
16%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ALM
3 - 1
POS
69%
18%
14%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
AGU
2 - 2
ALM
74%
15%
12%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ALM
1 - 1
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ayerbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
AYE
1 - 2
AGU
52%
20%
28%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
BOL
2 - 2
AYE
39%
21%
40%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
AYE
5 - 1
JHU
68%
17%
15%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
AAR
1 - 3
AYE
20%
19%
61%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LAF
3 - 1
AYE
52%
20%
28%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |