Almudevar vs Ayerbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almudevar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
AIN
5 - 1
ALM
80%
13%
8%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 0
AAR
31%
21%
48%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ALM
3 - 3
VIL
56%
20%
24%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SOD
3 - 0
ALM
50%
21%
28%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 1
TEM
37%
22%
42%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ayerbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
BOL
1 - 1
AYE
77%
14%
10%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SJO
2 - 1
AYE
36%
22%
42%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
AYE
1 - 0
UNI
49%
22%
30%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
AGU
3 - 1
AYE
88%
8%
4%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
AYE
1 - 1
AIN
17%
19%
64%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |