Almoguera C.F. vs Hogar Alcarreño B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.7%
Win probability
3.88
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.4%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.6%
4.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
+281%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almoguera C.F.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
USA
1 - 5
ALM
6%
12%
83%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ALM
10 - 1
HOR
92%
6%
3%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
DAM
4 - 5
ALM
13%
17%
70%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
YEB
1 - 8
ALM
7%
13%
80%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ALM
3 - 0
GUA
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hogar Alcarreño B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HOG
0 - 2
ALC
77%
13%
10%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 1
HOG
25%
21%
55%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
HOG
0 - 1
CVL
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
HOG
41%
22%
37%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
HOG
2 - 0
JAD
51%
20%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +2 |