Almoguera C.F. vs Hogar Alcarreño B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.9%
21.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
+256%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almoguera C.F.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
JAD
2 - 2
ALM
50%
21%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ALM
12 - 1
CES
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 2
ALM
43%
22%
34%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
USA
0 - 3
ALM
10%
16%
74%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ALM
7 - 0
YEB
85%
10%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hogar Alcarreño B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
HOG
6 - 0
YEB
88%
8%
4%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
DAM
0 - 2
HOG
13%
17%
70%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
HOG
4 - 2
RAY
69%
16%
15%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
IBE
1 - 3
HOG
40%
23%
38%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
HOG
4 - 1
GUA
79%
12%
9%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |