Almkerk vs VV Scherpenzeel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
65.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+114%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
10º
11º
58
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 29 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
93% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 26 |
11º
|
93% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
7% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
93% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almkerk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 1
NIV
49%
21%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ORA
2 - 1
ALM
43%
22%
34%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ALM
3 - 3
DZC
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SVL
2 - 0
ALM
30%
22%
48%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 2
DTS
38%
24%
39%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
VV Scherpenzeel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SVW
2 - 8
VVS
6%
11%
83%
|
39 | 14 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
VVS
5 - 1
BEN
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ACH
1 - 4
VVS
8%
13%
79%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
VVS
0 - 1
LRC
65%
18%
17%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
DTS
2 - 4
VVS
35%
22%
43%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |