Almkerk vs DZC '68 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
10º
11º
38
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 29 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
93% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 26 |
11º
|
93% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
7% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
93% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almkerk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SVL
2 - 0
ALM
30%
22%
48%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 2
DTS
38%
24%
39%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 0
DUN
31%
24%
45%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +3 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SLI
0 - 1
ALM
55%
21%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 0
BEN
32%
24%
45%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
DZC '68
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DZC
1 - 0
ACH
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 0
DZC
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SVW
1 - 4
DZC
15%
21%
65%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
DZC
2 - 1
LRC
35%
24%
41%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
DTS
1 - 1
DZC
63%
21%
16%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |