Almirante Brown vs San Martín Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
42.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
CFE
0 - 0
ALM
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 2
DEF
32%
29%
39%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 0
ALM
33%
30%
37%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 2
BRO
50%
28%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 3
EST
36%
32%
32%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
SUA
0 - 0
SMA
28%
30%
42%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 0
ALB
59%
25%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AGR
0 - 1
SMA
35%
30%
35%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 0
GBR
65%
23%
12%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 0
SMA
43%
28%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |