Almería vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.5%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
29.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
ALM
0 - 1
MAN
63%
23%
15%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
BET
1 - 0
ALM
41%
28%
32%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1998 |
ALM
0 - 0
SEV
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
UDS
1 - 0
ALM
29%
30%
41%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
ALM
2 - 1
MOT
70%
20%
11%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
SEV
2 - 0
RJA
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
RJA
0 - 0
BET
60%
23%
16%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1998 |
RJA
1 - 1
SEV
24%
27%
49%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
XER
0 - 0
RJA
42%
29%
29%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1998 |
EXT
2 - 2
RJA
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |