Almería vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1993 |
ALM
3 - 0
LEM
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1993 |
CDM
4 - 0
ALM
33%
29%
39%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1993 |
REA
0 - 0
ALM
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1993 |
LEM
1 - 0
ALM
27%
24%
49%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
ALM
0 - 3
CPC
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1993 |
RJA
3 - 1
REA
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1993 |
CPC
2 - 1
RJA
54%
26%
19%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
RJA
1 - 1
UDL
36%
28%
36%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
GRA
1 - 1
RJA
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1993 |
RJA
0 - 1
GRA
59%
22%
18%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |