Almería vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
46.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
HUE
2 - 2
ALM
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
ALM
2 - 1
CUL
57%
23%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SEV
0 - 3
ALM
37%
28%
34%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
ALM
0 - 1
OSA
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
LOR
1 - 2
ALM
26%
28%
46%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VAD
1 - 1
RAY
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
RAY
3 - 0
HUE
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CUL
2 - 3
RAY
24%
26%
50%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
RAY
2 - 0
SEV
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
OSA
1 - 1
RAY
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |