Almería B vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
31.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 2
ALM
52%
26%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ALM
5 - 2
ROD
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ARR
1 - 0
ALM
36%
26%
39%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 1
CAR
28%
28%
43%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SEV
0 - 0
ALM
56%
23%
22%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
RJA
2 - 1
CAD
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
RJA
1 - 2
MEL
56%
26%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ROD
0 - 1
RJA
35%
31%
34%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
RJA
3 - 2
ARR
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
RJA
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |