Almería B vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
30.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
PAL
2 - 0
ALM
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ALM
3 - 0
ECI
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ALG
1 - 1
ALM
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ALM
3 - 0
CAD
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
ALM
43%
26%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
LUC
2 - 2
MEL
48%
27%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ARR
3 - 0
LUC
30%
29%
41%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LUC
1 - 3
ALB
31%
29%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 0
LUC
55%
25%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
LUC
67%
21%
13%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |