AD Almería vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1978 |
SFE
1 - 2
ALM
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
MAL
0 - 0
ALM
60%
24%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
ALM
3 - 1
GDE
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
ALG
2 - 1
ALM
53%
25%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
ALM
3 - 1
MUR
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1978 |
UBE
1 - 1
RJA
26%
28%
47%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
RJA
1 - 0
CAS
56%
25%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
RCF
4 - 0
RJA
52%
28%
21%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
RJA
2 - 2
BET
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
TER
0 - 2
RJA
61%
25%
15%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |