Almere City vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
50.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
15º
18º
18º
26
6º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almere City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ZWO
1 - 0
ALM
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 5
TWE
17%
22%
61%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HER
0 - 0
ALM
51%
24%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
ADO
2 - 1
ALM
46%
24%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 1
GRO
26%
25%
49%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 2
PSV
22%
21%
56%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
UTR
3 - 2
WIL
54%
23%
24%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
WIL
3 - 0
RKC
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 2
SPA
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HER
1 - 1
WIL
34%
24%
42%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |