Almere City vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
71%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
11º
18º
13º
56
2º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
91 | 91 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
84 | 84 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almere City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 2
ALM
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
OJC
1 - 8
ALM
7%
13%
80%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ALM
0 - 0
GAE
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NEC
1 - 1
ALM
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 0
RKC
36%
27%
38%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
0 - 2
BHA
21%
23%
56%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
4 - 1
SCH
70%
18%
13%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 0
VOL
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PSV
5 - 2
AJA
54%
22%
25%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
BHA
2 - 0
AJA
61%
20%
18%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |