Almeda CD C vs Incresa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
34.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
+103%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almeda CD C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PAB
1 - 5
ALM
51%
20%
29%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 2
VIS
47%
20%
33%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SGB
2 - 0
ALM
76%
14%
10%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ALM
2 - 1
SFL
47%
19%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
RAY
5 - 1
ALM
46%
20%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Incresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
INC
5 - 1
RFL
45%
21%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SGF
1 - 1
INC
44%
21%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 0
INC
60%
19%
21%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
INC
1 - 1
CCF
7%
13%
80%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SES
1 - 2
INC
84%
10%
6%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +1 |