Almancilense vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almancilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
IDE
2 - 1
ALM
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 1
EVN
61%
19%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
ALM
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ALM
0 - 3
PIN
46%
25%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
ALM
36%
23%
41%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
5 - 2
LUS
51%
21%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ARM
2 - 1
LUS
49%
21%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 3
FAR
11%
21%
68%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FCC
1 - 1
LUS
43%
22%
36%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 3
ORI
19%
23%
57%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -2 |