Almancilense vs FC Castrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
22.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almancilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 2
ALM
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ALM
3 - 0
LOU
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +4 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 0
ALM
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALM
4 - 4
PIN
38%
24%
39%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FCB
2 - 0
ALM
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FCC
2 - 2
PIN
33%
24%
44%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FCC
3 - 1
LUS
36%
23%
40%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FCB
1 - 1
FCC
63%
20%
18%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 1
LOU
25%
24%
51%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 2
FCC
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |